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[펌] 워런 버핏과 조지 소로스…누구를 쫓아가야 돈 벌까?

November 18, 2008 by  

 

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수퍼리치 컬럼 (1): 워런 버핏과 조지 소로스…누구를 쫓아가야 돈 벌까?                                                                                                                                 

한상춘 , 2008.11.17

부자가 되려는 사람들은 모두가 워런 버핏과 조지 소로스를 꿈꾼다. 그만큼 세계 금융권에서 이 두 사람의 영향력이 막강하기 때문이다.

현재 이 두 사람이 정확히 얼마를 갖고 있는 가는 알려진 것이 없다. 특히 조지 소로스의 경우가 그렇다. 부자들의 전형적인 특징이기도 하다. 분명한 것은 이 두 사람은 기업경영을 통해 돈을 번 사람을 제외하고는 돈을 굴려 부자가 된 전형적인 재테크형 부자 가운데에서는 쌍두마차라는 점이다.

하지만 이 두 사람에 대한 평가는 사뭇 다르다. 워런 버핏은 ‘오마현의 달인’이라는 칭송을 제외하고는 누구에게나 거부반응이 없다. 마치 이웃 아저씨와 같은 인상을 풍긴다. 반면 조지 소로스는 ‘냉혈 인간’이라는 표현이 말해 주듯 모든 사람들이 다가갈 수 없는 사람으로 비쳐진다. 특히 외환위기를 겪었던 우리 국민들에게는 부정적인 인상이 더 강하다.

같은 부자라 하더라도 왜 이렇게 다른 평가가 나오는가. 다 그런 것은 아니지만 최근까지 재테크 열풍이 불면서 오로지 부자가 되겠다는 일념으로 돈만을 추구하는 일부 우리 국민들에게는 이 두 사람을 철저히 분석해 보면 많은 시사점을 던져주기 때문에 ‘한경 와우 넷’을 통해 처음 만나는 독자에게는 이 글이 적당하지 않을까 생각한다.

무엇보다 두 사람이 걸어온 길부터 다르다. 워런 버핏은 부모로부터 돈에 관한 모든 것을 어릴 적부터 배웠다. 소위 몸에 밴 체화(embodied)된 부자다. 이에 반해 조지 소로스는 성장과정이 잘 알려져 있지 않다. 세상에 알려지기 시작한 것도 1990년대 초에 유럽지역을 커다란 혼란에 빠트렸던 통화위기의 주범이라는 사실로부터다.

부자들이 추구하는 돈에 대한 관념도 다르다. 워런 버핏은 부모 세대로부터 돈은 그 자체가 목적이 아니라 일상생활을 영위해 나가는데 하나의 도구로 생각해 왔다. 다시 말해 돈을 벌거나 쓰는데 있어서 여유가 있다는 의미다. 반면 조지 소로스는 돈이 주는 다양한 장점보다 돈 그 자체만을 버는데 우선순위를 둔 것으로 비쳐져 왔다. 아시아 외환위기 이후 달러로 감싸진 조지 소로스의 웃는 얼굴이 단적인 예다.

돈에 대한 개념은 일상생활이나 투자방법, 부자가 된 이후 돈을 어떻게 쓰는가에 영향을 미친다. 우선 일상생활에 있어서는 워런 버핏은 일반인들조차도 고루하게 느껴질 정도의 오래된 뿔테 안경과 20년 이상된 캠리 자동차, 오마현의 작은 집이 그 모든 것을 말해준다. 검소하다는 그 말 자체다.

워런 버핏 만큼은 되지 못하지만 조지 소로스도 일상생활에 있어서는 검소한 것으로 알려져 있다. 일상생활에서 검소한 것은 이들 두 사람 뿐만 아니라 모든 슈퍼 리치들이 갖고 있는 공통적인 특징이기도 하다. 다만 돈을 벌기 위해서는 돈을 아끼지 않는 것은 워런 버핏과 다른 점이다.

돈에 대한 개념은 돈을 버는 방법에 있어서는 엄청난 차이를 보인다. 돈에 대해 여유가 있는 워런 버핏은 돈을 버는데 조급해 하거나 남에게 피해를 주는 비정상적이고 이기적인 방법을 가능한 피한다. 이 때문에 단기적인 투기가 아니라 중장기적인 안목에서 투자가 가능해 진다. 그 때 그 때 시장흐름보다는 큰 추세만을 중시하기 때문에 투자에 따른 비용과 피로도도 함께 적어진다.

비슷한 맥락에서 우량 종목은 언젠가는 시장에서 평가받는다는 소위 가치투자가 가능해진다. 지금은 낮게 평가되고 있지만 이를 사서 오랫동안 보유할 경우 나중에 큰 돈을 벌 수 있다는 가치투자의 원칙은 국내 증시 뿐만 아니라 세계증시의 가장 큰 축이 되고 있다. 자연스럽게 이 원칙을 지킬 경우 시장을 교란하지 않으면서 시장을 예상할 수 있고 투명성이 확보되는 투자문화와 기업들에게는 정도경영(正道經營)을 촉진시키는 장점도 따른다.

반면 조지 소로스는 상당히 다르다. 장기적인 투자보다는 초단기적인 투기를 더 선호한다. 조지 소로스가 가장 왕성하게 활동하던 1990년대의 경우에는 하루에도 몇 차례씩 주식과 각국의 통화를 사고 판 적이 많다. 특히 일반인들이 쉽게 접근할 수 없는 외환과 같은 시장일수록 이런 투기행위를 즐긴다.

투기행위로 돈을 벌기 위해서는 시장에 순응하기 보다는 시장을 교란시켜야 한다. 또 조금이라도 틈이 있어나 비정상적인 흐름이 나타날 때에는 이것을 놓치지 않고 파고든다. 조지 소로스가 운용하는 타이거 펀드와 퀀텀 펀드는 시장의 주도력을 십분 활용해서 1990년대 초의 유럽통화와 1990년대 후반의 아시아 통화를 실제 여건보다 심하게 흔들어 놓으면서 궁극적으로는 위기로 몰아넣었다.

물론 시장을 쉽게 흔들어 놓기 위해서는 고도의 금융기법이 요구된다. 1990년대에 타이거 펀드와 퀀텀 펀드가 사용했던 파생금융 기법은 지금도 이해하지 못한다고 한다. 조지 소로스가 다양한 파생기법 등을 통해 세계금융발전에 기여해 왔다는 평가를 받는 것도 이런 이유에서다. 하지만 그 이면에는 많은 국가와 투자자들의 희생이 뒤따르고 금융시스템의 투명성과 안정성을 떨어뜨린 부정적인 평가도 긍정적인 평가에 못지않다.

대표적으로 외환위기를 겪은 우리를 비롯한 아시아 국민들이 고통을 생각하면 이 같은 부정적인 이미지는 확연하게 알 수 있다. 아시아 외환위기가 전적으로 조지 소로스의 책임은 아니지만 지난 10년 동안 외환위기를 겪은 아시아 국민들이 당한 피해액이 한해 전 세계 국민들이 만들어 내는 소득(GDP)과 맞먹는다는 것은 구체적인 수치를 들지 않는다 하더라도 쉽게 짐작이 간다.

세계적인 슈퍼 리치라 불리울 만큼 부자가 된 이후에도 이 두 사람이 걷는 방향에 있어서도 확연하게 차이가 난다. 2006년에 워런 버핏은 평생 동안 번 돈의 ‘4분의 3’을 사회에 환원해 ”오마현의 달인‘과 함께 ’박애주의자”라는 칭송을 함께 받고 있다. 그것도 오해의 소지를 줄이기 위해 자신이 운영하는 재단보다는 빌 게이츠가 운용하는 재단에 기부했다. 이런 기부활동은 지금 이 시간까지 계속하고 있다.

또 자기 자신의 자녀들에 대한 상속도 인색하다. 자녀들이 사회적으로 활동하는데 필요한 최소한의 규모 이외에는 상속이 필요 없다는 것이다. 너무 많은 상속은 자녀들이 정상적인 사회활동을 망치게 할 수 있다는 것이 그의 지론이다. 오히려 지난해 11월에 열렸던 미국 의회 청문회에서는 상속세 등은 반드시 존속해야 한다는 입장을 표명해 또 한번 미국 국민들을 놀라게 했다.

반면 조지 소로스는 아직까지 이 점에 있어서는 철저하게 베일에 숨겨져 있다. 심지어는 자녀들이 정확하게 몇 명이 있는지조차 알려지지 않았다. 바라건 데 나중에 인류공영 차원에서 갖고 있는 재산을 한꺼번에 사회에 환원하면 좋겠지만 최근 들어서는 잇달은 투자실패로 재산규모가 줄어들고 있는 것으로 추정된다.

이런 모든 것들이 똑같은 부자라 하더라도 다른 평가를 받는 이유다. 나이가 들수록 워런 버핏은 미국을 비롯한 세계금융시장에 미치는 영향력이 커지고 있다. 이제는 그의 말 한마디와 행선지, 보유종목 등은 세계인의 관심을 끈다. 한때 ‘세계경제 대통령’이라 불리웠던 앨런 그린스펀 전 의장은 모기지 사태로 그 위상이 추락한 반면 워런 버핏은 내년 1월에 공식 출범할 오바마 정부에서 유력한 재무장관 후보로까지 거명될 정도다.

조지 소로스는 어떤가. 한 마디로 갈수록 영향력이 줄고 있다. 서브 프라임 모기지(비우량 주택담보 대출) 부실 등으로 최근과 같은 불안한 상황에서 미국 의회 등이 정책적으로 조언을 구하고자 조지 소로스를 부르는 경우는 없다. 국내 출판업계에서 조차도 워런 버핏과 관련된 책들은 쏟아져 나오고 있으나 조지 소로스와 관련된 책자는 이제는 거의 없다.

워런 버핏과 조지소로스…오늘 ‘한경 와우 넷’을 통해 필자를 처음 만난 당신의 선택은 누구인가. 모르긴 몰라도 워런 버핏을 선택하는 독자들이 많을 줄 생각한다. 그렇다면 우리 입장에서는 워런 버핏이 일생동안 돈을 어떻게 벌었는가는 더욱 궁금해 진다. 이런 궁금증을 풀어 들이기 위해 다음 글에서는 ‘워런 버핏이 일생동안 어떻게 돈을 벌었는가’를 국내에서 알려지지 않는 내용을 중심으로 ‘한경 와우 넷’ 독자와 두 번째로 만날 것을 약속한다.

                                            출처 : 와우넷  한상춘의 수퍼리치


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